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Publishing a paper with George Price
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Publishing a paper with George Price
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41. The effect of moving to Sussex on my theoretical work | 1 | 788 | 02:35 |
42. My first encounters with game theory, courtesy of George Price | 1602 | 03:10 | |
43. Developing the Evolutionary Stable Strategy theory | 1367 | 03:29 | |
44. Publishing a paper with George Price | 1259 | 02:25 | |
45. George Price's theorem and how scientists think | 1 | 2034 | 04:02 |
46. Game theory: The war of attrition game | 1439 | 04:16 | |
47. The War of Attrition game in Papilio zelicaon | 1026 | 02:34 | |
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50. The point of evolutionary game theory | 1508 | 03:49 |
I didn't have to read much game theory. I read the first chapter, I think, of a book by two guys called Luce and Raiffa or something, you didn't have to read much, just to get the notation, that's all you need. And the notion essentially was - what would you expect - well no, let me step back a bit - Classical Game Theory, which Luce and Raiffa, and it goes back to von Neumann and Morgenstern, what they're doing is saying, what would a reasonable man do in a contest situation if he can assume that his opponent is reasonable as well. So you and I are playing a game, I say, 'Dawkins is not only reasonable, he's pretty smart, so I can work out what he'll do, what had I better do?' And I must assume that he's being just like me, and can we find some kind of rational solution to the game, assuming - each of us assuming the other guy's pretty clever. In animals, you don't say, 'I think this animal's pretty clever,' it's probably as thick as two planks, there's no need to think it's clever. What you have to do is to look for what I call an Evolutionary Stable Strategy. An evolutionary stable strategy is simply a behaviour or a strategy, call it what you will, which has the property that if every member of the population does it, or almost every member of the population does it, then any mutant doing anything else possible doesn't do as well against the members of the population as the members of the population are doing against one another. And that can be formulated mathematically, very simply, it's not difficult, you don't have to be a mathematician. And you can then ask: will this, that or the other strategy satisfy this mathematical condition? And it turns out, actually, or it turned out later, to be really rather a powerful technique, probably because it just is so simple. And while I was in Chicago I worked out the formal conditions for something to be what we call an ESS nowadays, an evolutionary stable strategy. And I tried it out on George Price's problem, as I think of it, the problem of retaliation, and found that, in fact, George had been quite right, that you can make symbolic, symbolising, ritualised behaviour stable if you introduce retaliation as a possible alternative. And I invented a game which is now known as the Hawk-Dove Game, remember this was during the Vietnam War, in Chicago, Hawks and Doves, that's sort of popular. And at that stage, I thought, well, I suppose I'd better quote Price, because that's where the whole idea had started from. And I searched through the pages of Nature and the indexes and it didn't seem to have been published, and I couldn't find any record of it being published anywhere. And indeed, it hadn't been. And I had this problem of how do I get in touch with George Price, and found out what happened to it. And in the end I wrote to Nature and asked for his address. And they had an address in London, in Charlotte Street. And then I tried to contact him. And I can't remember, I think in the end I actually had to go and bang on the door, but that's from memory.
The late British biologist John Maynard Smith (1920-2004) is famous for applying game theory to the study of natural selection. At Eton College, inspired by the work of old Etonian JBS Haldane, Maynard Smith developed an interest in Darwinian evolutionary theory and mathematics. Then he entered University College London (UCL) to study fruit fly genetics under Haldane. In 1973 Maynard Smith formalised a central concept in game theory called the evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS). His ideas, presented in books such as 'Evolution and the Theory of Games', were enormously influential and led to a more rigorous scientific analysis and understanding of interactions between living things.
Title: Developing the Evolutionary Stable Strategy theory
Listeners: Richard Dawkins
Richard Dawkins was educated at Oxford University and has taught zoology at the universities of California and Oxford. He is a fellow of New College, Oxford and the Charles Simonyi Professor of the Public Understanding of Science at Oxford University. Dawkins is one of the leading thinkers in modern evolutionary biology. He is also one of the best read and most popular writers on the subject: his books about evolution and science include "The Selfish Gene", "The Extended Phenotype", "The Blind Watchmaker", "River Out of Eden", "Climbing Mount Improbable", and most recently, "Unweaving the Rainbow".
Tags: Game Theory, Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey, Evolutionary Stable Strategy, Chicago, Vietnam War, Nature, London, Charlotte Street, Howard Raiffa, RD Luce, John von Neumann, Oskar Morgenstern, Richard Dawkins, George Price
Duration: 3 minutes, 30 seconds
Date story recorded: April 1997
Date story went live: 24 January 2008